Dollar set for biggest monthly loss in nearly two years as outlook weakens

Against a basket of rivals, the dollar was down 0.25 per cent in early London trading, taking its losses to 3.5 per cent in January, its biggest monthly drop since March 2016. — Reuters picAgainst a basket of rivals, the dollar was down 0.25 per cent in early London trading, taking its losses to 3.5 per cent in , its biggest monthly drop since March 2016. — Reuters picLONDON, Jan 31 ― The dollar fell by a quarter of a per cent today, putting it on track for its biggest monthly drop in nearly two years as US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address failed to offer any comfort to ailing dollar bulls.

Against a basket of rivals, the greenback was down 0.25 per cent in early London trading, taking its losses to 3.5 per cent in January, its biggest monthly drop since March 2016.

Trump called on the US Congress to pass legislation to ensure at least US$1.5 trillion (RM5.8 trillion) in new infrastructure spending and urged lawmakers to work toward bipartisan compromises, but pushed a hard line on immigration.

The new round of weakness comes after a period of consolidation earlier this week as financial markets expected the US Federal Reserve to take a more confident stance about the outlook of the economy but keep policy unchanged.



“We are still seeing a broad round of dollar weakness and that may be also be because of an undertone of risk aversion in the markets,” said Commerzbank currency strategist Esther Reichelt, in Frankfurt.

A market gauge of risk perked up to its highest levels since August 2017 and has nearly doubled this month.

The dollar’s weakness also coincided with a time when has picked up across the world, especially in the eurozone and Japan.

The dollar’s woes are in sharp contrast to the general mood of optimism with investor flows data painting an upbeat picture.

In the opening weeks of 2018, Europe recorded the highest equity inflows across all major regions, on top of a strong 2017 which saw the region cornering over one-third of all global equity fund flows.

Yesterday’s preliminary data showed the euro zone economy expanded at its fastest rate in a decade in 2017 with sentiment remaining high at the start of 2018 despite a slight dip from a 17-year peak.

The yen slipped briefly after the Bank of Japan increased its buying of medium-term Japanese government bonds (JGBs) in a move seen as a warning shot against further rises in yields.

The dollar reached its intraday high of 109.095 yen shortly after the BOJ announcement. The dollar later pared its gains and was last trading at ¥108.68, steady on the day.



The BOJ’s move came after the 10-year JGB yield had risen to a 6-1/2-month high of 0.095 per cent on Tuesday. The ’s policy guidance is to control the 10-year yield “around zero per cent”.

BOJ officials have said that any changes to bond-buying operations are fine-tuning and are not meant to telegraph hints on policy. ― Reuters

Source: The Malay Mail Online





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