Asia stocks capped, US dollar at week high

Visitors are seen as market prices are reflected in a glass window at the Tokyo Stock Exchange October 1, 2018. — Reuters pic
Visitors are seen as market prices are reflected in a glass window at the Tokyo Stock Exchange October 1, 2018. — Reuters pic

TOKYO, Oct 18 — Asian stocks were capped and the rose to a one week-high in early trade today after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting showed broad agreement among board members on the need to raise borrowing costs further.

The spectre of rising US dollar yields, which along with global trade tensions were at the centre of last week’s global rout, kept riskier appetite in check in Asia.

MSCI broadest index of Asia- shares outside Japan fell 0.2 per cent, while the Australian benchmark also dropped 0.2 per cent.

Japan’s Nikkei average was flat, and appeared to struggle for headway. Data out earlier in the day showed exports from the world’s third-biggest economy dropped for the first time since late 2016, hit by declines in shipments to the United States and .

The US dollar index and Treasury yields rose to its highest levels in a week yesterday.

The dollar index, which measures its value against six major peers, last traded at 95.654, little changed on the day, while 10 year Treasury yield last stood at 3.211 per cent, 3.2 basis points higher than the US close.

The minutes from the Fed’s September 25-26 meeting showed every Fed policymaker backed raising interest rates last month and also generally agreed borrowing costs were set to rise further, despite US President Donald Trump’s view that the tightenings have already gone too far.

Major currencies have shown limited reaction after the US government late yesterday refrained from naming China or any other trading partner as a currency manipulator, as it leans on import tariffs to try to cut a trade deficit with China, soothing investor sentiment in Asia.

In its semi-annual currency report, the US Treasury Department said a recent depreciation of China’s yuan currency will likely exacerbate the US trade deficit, but US officials found Beijing appeared to be doing little to directly intervene in the currency’s value.

The yuan was steady at 6.9315 per US dollar in the offshore trade, not far off 1-1/2-year low of 6.9587 touched in August.

But some investors remain wary of a slide towards the psychologically important level of seven to the US dollar.

“With US Treasury yields beginning to creep higher again, President Trump hinting at further tariffs on goods and the CSI 300 trading at close to its lowest level since the summer of 2016, the continued risk of a fresh bout of weakness (in the yuan) cannot be ignored,” said Simon Derrick, chief currency strategist at BNY Mellon.

In Europe, the European Council meeting kicked off yesterday with a roundtable dinner, with British Prime Minister Theresa May’s address ahead of it, though expectations that anything substantial will come out of it have already been fading.

“Hopes for Brexit deal has supported the pound for the past two months. So if there’s no meaningful development, other than longer transition period, the pound could come under short-term selling pressure,” said Tohru Sasaki, head of markets research at JPMorgan Chase Bank in Tokyo.

Oil prices fell yesterday, with US futures settling below US$70 (RM291) a barrel for the first time in a month, after US crude stockpiles rose 6.5 million barrels, almost triple what analysts had forecast, while exports dropped.

The West Texas Intermediate crude futures and crude futures last traded at US$69.79 and US$80.08 a barrel, respectively. — Reuters

Source: The Malay Mail Online

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