Dollar rebounds from post-Fed losses as US shutdown looms

In late morning trading, the dollar index rose 0.5 per cent to 96.759. — Reuters pic
In late morning trading, the dollar index rose 0.5 per cent to 96.759. — Reuters pic

NEW YORK, Dec 21 — The dollar gained today, reversing most of its losses after the Federal Reserve flagged fewer interest earlier this week, as investors sought

the currency’s safety amid persistent equity market volatility and a possible US government shutdown.

The safe-haven yen also gained versus the dollar, benefiting from the overall market anxiety. The Japanese currency was on track to post its largest weekly percentage rise against the greenback in 10 months.

US President Donald Trump today threatened a “very long” government shutdown just hours ahead of a midnight deadline, calling on the Senate to pass spending legislation that includes his US$5 billion (RM20 billion) demand for border wall funding.

While the news has not pressured overall, so-called defensive shares have gained, suggesting some nervousness about the general market environment.

“It’s not clear at this stage whether President Trump would agree to a continuing resolution to temporarily fund the government, or would instead seek a government shutdown, which would go into effect at midnight tonight,” said Nick Bennenbroek, currency strategist at Wells Fargo Securities in New York.

He added that if the shutdown goes into effect, he expects the dollar to continue its bounce next week.

US economic reports today, meanwhile, were mixed and had minimal impact on the dollar.

Data showed orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dropped 0.6 per cent last month after an upwardly revised 0.5 per cent increase in October.

The US economy also slowed slightly more than previously estimated in the third quarter, and momentum appears to have moderated further in the fourth, according to the Commerce Department.

Data also indicated that US consumer spending increased solidly in November, as households bought motor vehicles and spent more on utilities, but wage growth remained moderate, suggesting the current pace of consumption was unlikely to be sustained.

The so-called core PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred measure, rose to 1.9 per cent year-on-year, from an eight-month low of 1.8 per cent in October.

“With economic growth strong, helped by a pickup in consumption growth, and core inflation close to the 2 per cent target, there appears to be little in the incoming data that would prompt the Fed to halt raising rates imminently,” said Michael Pearce, senior US economist at Capital Economics in New York.

In late morning trading, the dollar index rose 0.5 per cent to 96.759.

The euro, the largest component of the dollar index, fell 0.4 per cent versus the dollar to US$1.1392.

As liquidity thinned ahead of the Christmas and New Year holidays, large currency options had an impact on the cash market. For instance, large options around the US$1.15 level also pulled the euro lower.

The dollar, meanwhile, slipped 0.1 per cent versus the yen to ¥111.21. — Reuters

Source: The Malay Mail Online

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