SINGAPORE, Feb 1 — The Australian dollar fell versus the greenback today after a private survey showed factory activity in China shrank by the most in almost three years in January.
The Australian dollar, often considered a barometer for global risk appetite, fell 0.4 per cent to US$0.7246. The kiwi was at $0.6907, down 0.2 per cent versus the greenback.
China’s gloomy factory readings have brought global growth worries to the fore again, which is likely to benefit safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen.
“Dollar/yen is expected to remain weak given a dovish Federal Reserve but we can expect a bigger move down if there is a return of risk-off sentiment,” said Sim Moh Siong, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore.
The yen was steady at 108.8 after hitting a two-week high in the previous session.
However, broader risk sentiment still remained fairly strong after US President Donald Trump said yesterday he would meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping soon to try and seal a comprehensive trade deal as the top US negotiator reported “substantial progress” in two days of high-level talks.
The US dollar index, a gauge of its value versus six major peers, was steady at 95.60. The index is set to end the week in the red, after losing 0.6 per cent of its value last week.
The US dollar is widely expected to weaken this year as the Federal Reserve turns more cautious about further rate increases.
On Wednesday, the US central bank held interest rates steady as expected but discarded pledges of “further gradual increases” in interest rates, and said it would be “patient” before making any further moves.
Trade talks between the United States and China could also have an impact on the US dollar, which has acted as a safe-haven in times of uncertainty.
President Trump said he wanted a “very big” trade deal with China, but he signalled there could be delays if talks fail to meet his goals of opening the Chinese economy broadly to US industry and agriculture.
Analysts say a comprehensive trade deal between the world’s two largest economies would most likely boost risk sentiment and lead to a weaker US dollar.
Markets are now focusing on US jobs data later today. Analysts note that any weakness in the labour market and a fall in wage inflation would only reinforce the dovish outlook for the US dollar this year.
The euro was flat at US$1.1446 after having fallen 0.3 per cent in the last session. The single currency has not managed to gain despite broader dollar weakness as growth and inflation in the euro zone remain weaker than expected.
Indeed, Jens Weidmann, the Bundesbank president and a member of the European Central Bank Governing Council, painted a bleak picture of the German economy yesterday, saying the slump in Europe’s largest economy will last longer than initially thought.
Sterling, which is grappling with troubles of its own on uncertainty over a deal to avoid a chaotic British exit from the European Union, was flat at US$1.3109. Analysts expect the British pound to remain volatile in the coming weeks. — Reuters
Source: The Malay Mail Online