Aussie, kiwi steady as dovish Fed keeps lid on US dollar

Australian dollar denominations shown in a photo illustration at a currency exchange in Sydney, Australia, June 7, 2016. — Reuters pic
Australian dollar denominations shown in a photo illustration at a currency exchange in Sydney, Australia, June 7, 2016. — Reuters pic

, Feb 1 — The Australian and New Zealand dollars held steady versus the greenback today, as the Federal Reserve’s more dovish stance and improved prospects for a US-Sino trade deal boosted investor risk appetite.

On Wednesday, the US held interest rates steady as expected but discarded pledges of “further gradual increases” in interest rates, and said it would be “patient” before making any further moves.

Broader risk sentiment was also bolstered after US President Donald Trump said yesterday he would meet with President Xi Jinping soon to try and seal a comprehensive trade deal as the top US negotiator reported “substantial progress” in two days of high-level talks.

“I expect the Aussie and kiwi dollar to gain versus the dollar in coming weeks on the back of a more dovish Fed,” said Sim Moh Siong, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore.

The yen was steady at 108.8 after hitting a two-week high in the previous session.

“Dollar/yen is expected to remain weak given a dovish Federal Reserve but we can expect a bigger move down if there is a return of risk-off sentiment,” added Sim.

“There is still a lot to worry about outside the US with growth in Europe and slowing.”

The Australian dollar was steady at US$0.7266. The Aussie hit US$0.7295, its highest since December 5 yesterday. The kiwi was at US$0.6969, marginally higher versus the greenback.

The Canadian dollar was also steady at C$1.3128 in early Asian trade. The has eased by 1.1 per cent against the loonie over the last two sessions.

The US dollar index, a gauge of its strength versus six major peers was relatively unchanged at 95.55. The index is set to end the week in the red, after losing 0.6 per cent of its value last week.

Trade talks between the United States and China could also have an impact on the dollar, which has acted as a safe-haven in times of uncertainty.

President Trump said he wanted a “very big” trade deal with China, but he signalled there could be delays if talks fail to meet his goals of opening the Chinese economy broadly to US industry and agriculture.

Analysts say a comprehensive trade deal between the world’s two largest would most likely boost risk sentiment and lead to a weaker US dollar.

Markets would be focusing on US jobs data due later today. Analysts note that any weakness in the labour market and a fall in wage would only reinforce the dovish outlook for the dollar this year.

The euro was flat at US$1.1446 after having fallen 0.3 per cent in the last session. The single currency has not managed to gain despite broader dollar weakness as growth and inflation in the euro zone remain weaker than expected.

Indeed, Jens Weidmann, the Bundesbank president and a member of the European Central Bank Governing Council, painted a bleak picture of the German economy yesterday, saying the slump in Europe’s largest economy will last longer than initially thought.

Sterling, which is grappling with troubles of its own on uncertainty over a deal to avoid a chaotic British exit from the European Union, was flat at US$1.3109. Analysts expect the British pound to remain volatile in the coming weeks. — Reuters

Source: The Malay Mail Online

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