Asian shares search for direction as US-China trade talks begin

A lion dance is performed during a ceremony marking the first day of trade after Lunar New Year at the Hong Kong stock exchange February 8, 2019. — Reuters pic
A lion dance is performed during a ceremony marking the first day of trade after Lunar New Year at the Hong Kong stock exchange February 8, 2019. — Reuters pic

SYDNEY, Feb 11 — Asian shares barely moved on today as investors were unable to shake worries about , US politics and the Sino-US trade war, keeping the safe haven US dollar near a six-week top against major currencies.

stock indexes played catch-up when reopening after a week-long break. Gains came as the commerce ministry said retail earnings during the Lunar New Year holiday jumped 8.5 percent from the period last year, even though growth in the world’s second largest economy is slowing.

’s blue-chip index surged 1.6 per cent while Shanghai’s SSE Composite climbed 1.2 per cent.

Australian stocks recouped some losses to end 0.2 per cent lower while South Korea’s Kospi index was up 0.2 per cent. Indonesian and benchmarks were in the red.



That left MSCI’s broadest index of Asia- shares outside Japan were slightly firmer after it was toppled from a four-month top on Friday.

Trading volumes were generally light, with Japan on public holiday.

“Ranges have been on the tight side today, and nobody has been prepared to stamp down any authority,” said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne broker Pepperstone.

“I have no doubt that will change as we head through the week, with trade relations slap bang at the epicentre of concerns,” he said.

Tensions between the United States and China have cost both countries billions of dollars and roiled global financial markets.

A new round of trade talks began in Beijing on Monday, with higher-level talks involving U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Thursday and Friday.

If the negotiations do not progress sufficiently by March 1, the US has said it intends to raise tariffs on US$200 billion (RM813.7 billion) of imports from China to 25 per cent from 10 per cent.

“US-led trade uncertainty along with increasing concerns over the extent of the current global growth slowdown has seen an increase in demand for core global bonds,” said Rodrigo Catril, senior forex strategist at National Australia Bank.



“Against a backdrop of uncertainty and despite a Fed that is comfortably on hold, the US dollar continues to win the least ugly contest.”

The US Federal Reserve has signalled patience on policy after delivering four hikes in 2018, citing growing economic risks from a slowdown in global growth.

The US dollar index held near a six-week high around 96.695 against a basket of currencies, setting up for its sixth straight session of gains as traders piled into the greenback in a safe-haven move.

Growth fears

are already under strain from a drumroll of gloomy news on the global economy.

Last week, the European Commission sharply downgraded euro zone growth for this year and next and US President Donald Trump added to the anxiety with a declaration that he had no plans to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping before the March 1 deadline to achieve a trade deal.

Adding to worries, a collapse in talks between US Democrat and Republican lawmakers over the weekend amid a clash over immigrant detention policy raised fears of another government shutdown.

The rising pressure on growth means the near term fortunes of the will partly depend on earnings from major US companies. These include Coca-Cola Co, PepsiCo Inc , Walmart Inc, Home Depot Inc, Macy’s Inc and Gap Inc for further clues about the health of the consumer sector.



Analysts now expect first-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies to decline 0.1 percent from a year earlier, which would be the first such quarterly profit decline since 2016, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.

Elsewhere, the euro was barely changed at US$1.1322 after five straight days of losses took it to more than two weeks’ lows. Sterling dithered at US$1.2931.

The Australian dollar inched up from Friday’s one-month lows although sentiment was still cautious after the country’s opened the door to a possible rate cut.

Oil prices slipped on concerns about slowing global demand amid a pick-up in US drilling activity.

US crude was 56 cents weaker at US$52.16 per barrel while fell 36 cents to US$61.74. — Reuters

Source: The Malay Mail Online





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