Asia stocks cautious before Fed, oil on defensive

Fresh hopes for looser US monetary policy have been a tonic for risk assets markets, which were buffeted last month by an escalation in the trade conflict between Washington and Beijing. — Reuters pic
Fresh hopes for looser US monetary policy have been a tonic for risk assets markets, which were buffeted last month by an escalation in the trade conflict between Washington and Beijing. — Reuters pic

TOKYO, June 18 — Investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting capped Asian stocks today, while crude oil prices retreated as worries overshadowed supply concerns stemming from recent Middle East tensions.

The Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.25 per cent, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.15 per cent and Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.3 per cent.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia- shares outside Japan edged up 0.2 per cent.

Bucking the trend were Australian stocks, which rose 0.3 per cent after minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) last policy meeting pointed to the possibility of another interest rate cut.



The Fed, facing fresh demands by US President Donald Trump to cut interest rates, begins a two-day meeting later today. The is expected to leave borrowing costs unchanged this time but possibly lay the groundwork for a rate cut later this year.

Fresh hopes for looser US monetary policy have been a tonic for risk assets markets, which were buffeted last month by an escalation in the trade conflict between Washington and Beijing. The S&P 500 has gained 5 per cent this month after sliding in May on trade war fears.

“In just a few months, the market has turned from being guided by the Fed to actively guiding the Fed,” wrote interest rate strategists at Bank of Merrill Lynch.

Focus is now on how close the Fed could be to cutting interest rates amid the raging US- trade war, signs of the economy losing steam and pressure by President Trump to ease policy.

“The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting is the week’s biggest event so there will be a degree of caution prevailing in the markets,” said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management.

“Expectations for a rate cut in July have increased significantly, so the markets could experience disappointment if the Fed does not send strong signals of impending easing.”

US Treasury yields dipped yesterday after the New York Fed’s “Empire” gauge of in the state showed a fall this month to its weakest in more than 2-1/2-years, fanning rate cut expectations.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies stood little changed at 97.468 after pulling back from a two-week high on the decline in Treasury yields.



The Australian dollar fell to a fresh five-month low of US$0.6851 (RM2.86) after minutes from the RBA’s June meeting showed the central bank thinks it may have to ease policy again to push down unemployment and revive wages and .

The central bank cut rates to a record low of 1.25 per cent at its meeting earlier this month, to support the slowing economy.

The pound extended an overnight slump and brushed US$1.2512, its lowest since 3. Concerns that arch-Brexiteer Boris Johnson will replace Theresa May as prime minister have dogged sterling.

The euro was a shade higher at US$1.1231 after spending the previous day confined to a narrow range.

US crude oil futures shed 0.13 per cent to US$51.86 per barrel after retreating 1.1 per cent the previous day and crude lost 0.2 per cent to US$60.81 per barrel following yesterday’s loss of 1.7 per cent.

Oil prices had fallen yesterday as weak economic data released at the end of last week led to fears of lower global demand for the commodity.

Concerns over weakening demand overshadowed tensions in the Middle East, which remained high following last week’s attacks on two oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman. — Reuters

Source: The Malay Mail Online







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